Assessment of Climate Events in Changma Season (Korean Monsoon) for Production Trend of Sorghum-Sudangrass Hybrid (Sorghum bicolor L.) in the Central Inland Regions of Korea Using Time Series Analysis

Assessment of Climate Events in Changma Season (Korean Monsoon) for Production Trend of Sorghum-Sudangrass Hybrid (Sorghum bicolor L.) in the Central Inland Regions of Korea Using Time Series Analysis

This study aimed to assess the impact of climate events in the Changma (Korean Monsoon) season on the production trend of sorghum-sudangrass hybrid (SSH) in central inland regions using time series analysis. The dataset in Suwon from 1988–2013 (n = 388) was generated by merging SSH data and climate data. The accumulated temperature (SHAT, ℃), rainfall amount (SHRA, mm) and sunshine duration (SHSD, hr) from seeding to harvesting were used to assess their impact on the trend of dry matter yield (DMY, kg/ha) for SSH. Furthermore, heavy rainfall (HRF) and typhoons (TPH) were considered as climate events. As a result, the impact of climate events did not affect DMY, even though the frequency and intensity of HRF increased. Conversely, SHAT and SHRA had positive and negative effects on the trend of DMY, respectively. Therefore, the DMY trend of SSH was forecasted to increase until 2045, unlike maize, which has shown a declining trend. The forecasted DMY in 2045 was 14,926 kg/ha. It is likely that the damage by heavy rainfall and typhoons was reduced due to multiple-harvesting and a deeper extension of the root system. Therefore, in an environment that is rapidly changing due to climate change and abnormal weather, such as the Changma season, the cultivation of SSH would be advantageous as it would ensure a stable and robust yield.