Author ORCID Identifier

https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0599-3086

Date Available

6-21-2025

Year of Publication

2023

Document Type

Master's Thesis

Degree Name

Master of Science in Forest and Natural Resource Sciences (MSFNRS)

College

Agriculture, Food and Environment

Department/School/Program

Forestry and Natural Resources

Advisor

Dr. Thomas O. Ochuodho

Abstract

Maple syrup production is traditionally associated with New England regions in the United States, but there is growing interest in expanding it to other regions with suitable environmental conditions, including Kentucky. This study presents an in-depth analysis of the potential production and economic impacts of maple syrup in Kentucky using a multi-method approach. First, the study applies a stochastic production model to assess the effects of climatic and tree variables on maple syrup yield. The results reveal that several variables, including the number of maple trees, taps, temperatures, tapping season length, and time, significantly affect maple syrup yield. Second, input-output and Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) modeling frameworks are applied to assess the economic impacts of the potential maple syrup industry in Kentucky. The results suggest that the industry has the potential to create jobs and generate significant output and revenue for the state. However, the study highlights the contingent nature of the economic impacts, which are constrained by factors such as production capacity and substitution effects, especially in CGE analysis. Overall, this study provides insights into the potential of maple syrup production in Kentucky and its economic impacts. The findings can inform policymakers, extension agents, and maple syrup producers in making informed decisions about the development of the maple syrup industry in the state and other maple syrup-producing states.

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

https://doi.org/10.13023/etd.2023.271

Funding Information

This study was supported by the U.S. Department of Agriculture Natural Resources Conservation Service's Grant (no.: NR195C16XXXG005) in 2019.

Available for download on Saturday, June 21, 2025

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