Year of Publication
2023
College
Martin School of Public Policy and Administration
Date Available
5-1-2023
Degree Name
Master of Public Administration
Committee Member
Dr. Catherine Annis
Advisor
Dr. Ron Zimmer
Committee Member
David Duttlinger
Co-Director of Graduate Studies
Dr. Chuyani Guo
Abstract
The state of Kentucky is home to many rural counties which experience high levels of outward migration due to their relatively unfavorable economic conditions. While migration trends nationally have begun to plateau, migration flows from county to county show a much more volatile story. This study will examine the relationship between economic opportunity and migration flow estimates in Kentucky’s counties through a multiple regression approach with the response variable being annual migration flow estimates, with multiple predictor variables showing the economic composition of the county. Variables used in this regression include annual unemployment rates, educational attainment levels, county poverty rates, and the percentage of a county’s population that is of the prime working age, 25-54. Based on the results of this regression, it was determined that there are a few counties in Kentucky that despite relatively unfavorable economic conditions, have been able to stem the flow of outward migration and either maintain their existing working population, or attract new citizens to their county. At the heart of this research is the question of why some of these counties have been more successful than others in retaining their young people despite these existing economic hardships. Due to this finding, interviews with public officials, organizations, and agencies associated with these “bright spot” counties were conducted and the results of these interviews were used to highlight the strategies used by these counties to stem the flow of outward migration, while also providing other county, state, and national leaders with recommendations based on the success stories of these few Kentucky counties.
Recommended Citation
Stein, James Brady, "Examining Migration Flows Across Kentucky's Counties" (2023). MPA/MPP/MPFM Capstone Projects. 411.
https://uknowledge.uky.edu/mpampp_etds/411
