Publication Date

1993

Description

The economic outlook for grassland-based products over the next decade will be influenced by a range of factors. Important among these will be the outcome of the agricultural negotiations in the Uruguay Round of the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade. Failure to achieve satisfactory agricultural reform in the Uruguay Round could result in an acceleration in the trend toward the formation of regional trading arrangements. This could, in turn, lead to increased fragmentation of the international trading system. Such fragmentation reduces the global economic gains available from trade which stem from specialisation and the associated exercise of comparative advantage. Other major issues that will affect trade prospects for grassland-based products are the extent of possible reforms to the Common Agricultural Policy of the European Community, developments in agricultural and trade policies in the Asia Pacific region, the changing political and economic situation in the Commonwealth of Independent States and Eastern Europe, global environmental issues and the impact of changes in income and demand patterns.

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Policy Developments and Trade Prospects for Grassland-Based Products

The economic outlook for grassland-based products over the next decade will be influenced by a range of factors. Important among these will be the outcome of the agricultural negotiations in the Uruguay Round of the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade. Failure to achieve satisfactory agricultural reform in the Uruguay Round could result in an acceleration in the trend toward the formation of regional trading arrangements. This could, in turn, lead to increased fragmentation of the international trading system. Such fragmentation reduces the global economic gains available from trade which stem from specialisation and the associated exercise of comparative advantage. Other major issues that will affect trade prospects for grassland-based products are the extent of possible reforms to the Common Agricultural Policy of the European Community, developments in agricultural and trade policies in the Asia Pacific region, the changing political and economic situation in the Commonwealth of Independent States and Eastern Europe, global environmental issues and the impact of changes in income and demand patterns.