The Challenges and Perils of Earthquake Prediction: Part 3. Basics or Prediction and Risk Assessment

Authors

Dave Moecher, University of Kentucky

Streaming Media

Abstract

Past earthquake prediction efforts were based on several basic tenets (“the earthquake paradigm”) that are now being questioned by some seismologists. Earthquakes exhibit simple statistical distributions that can be used to understand their recurrence. Basic probability can be used to estimate earthquake recurrence intervals. Seismic risk is defined.

Document Type

Presentation

Publication Date

4-8-2013

Notes/Citation Information

This was part of the second session of the College of Arts & Sciences "What's New in Science" series in Spring 2013.

Repository Citation

Moecher, Dave, "The Challenges and Perils of Earthquake Prediction: Part 3. Basics or Prediction and Risk Assessment" (2013). Earth and Environmental Sciences Presentations. 3.
https://uknowledge.uky.edu/ees_present/3